Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Genoa		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.45	Watch
	6.9	4.25	1.49	Watch
	7.7	4.37	1.48
	7.27	4.31	1.48	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.44
	7.22	4.47	1.5
	7	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.08 ↑ (6.12)	4.23 ↑ (4.13)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
13.4%

Draw
22.4%

Inter Milan
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

23%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

22.6%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.5%	10.9%	83.6%

Genoa - Inter Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Inter (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Genoa (2.04) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (46 of 55 users predict this - 83.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.86% – 93.42%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Inter (votes: 11 - 78.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leali N. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 32. Frendrup M. 17. Malinovskyi R. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 30. Carlos Augusto 94. Esposito F. 10. Martinez L. (C)
Substitutes
23. Carboni V. 70. Cornet M. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 35. Lysionok E. (G) 73. Masini P. 14. Onana J. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L.	14. Bonny A. 50. Cinquegrano S. 43. Cocchi M. 6. de Vrij S. 32. Dimarco F. 17. Diouf A. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 60. Taho A. (G) 9. Thuram M.
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Bisseck Y. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Akanji M. 🟨,
58', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Vitinha ⚽, Martin A. (A),
73', Barella N. 🟨,
75', Sucic P. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
75', Esposito F. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
78', Frendrup M. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
78', Vitinha ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
79', Bisseck Y. 🟨,
84', Martinez L. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
89', Otoa S. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
89', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
90', Zielinski P. ↓, de Vrij S. ↑,
90+2', Ekhator J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Inter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Genoa: Ostigard L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Acerbi F. (Thigh Injury) Calhanoglu H. (Thigh Injury) Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Frendrup M. (Injury) Gronbaek A. (Inactive) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:39. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 61.4%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Udinese - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Atalanta - Genoa	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Genoa - Verona	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cagliari - Genoa	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWTT
- Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Inter Milan - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Inter Milan - Venezia	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Pisa - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.02.25	Inter Milan - Genoa	1:0
17.08.24	Genoa - Inter Milan	2:2
04.03.24	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:1
29.12.23	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:1
25.02.22	Genoa - Inter Milan	0:0
21.08.21	Inter Milan - Genoa	4:0
28.02.21	Inter Milan - Genoa	3:0

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