Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)


	Monza		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.85
	2.72	2.98	2.88	Watch
	2.85	3.07	2.95
	2.78	3.01	2.91	Watch
	2.7	3	2.88
	2.81	3.17	2.91	Watch
	2.75	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.58)	3.02 ↓ (3.18)	2.89 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
34.9%

Draw
31.8%

Genoa
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.7%	67.6%	17.6%

Monza - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Genoa will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 69.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 22. Mari P. 5. Caldirola L. 19. Birindelli S. 32. Pessina M. (C) 38. Bondo W. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 14. Maldini D. 47. Mota D. 37. Petagna A.	95. Gollini P. (G) 4. De Winter K. 13. Bani M. 22. Vasquez J. 20. Sabelli S. 10. Messias J. 47. Badelj M. (C) 32. Frendrup M. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 19. Pinamonti A.
Substitutes
51. Bifulco D. (G) 10. Caprari G. 44. Carboni A. 70. D'Alessandro M. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 11. Djuric M. 62. Forson O. 6. Gagliardini R. 69. Mazza A. (G) 13. Pereira P. 30. Turati S. (G) 27. Valoti M. 80. Vignato S.	55. Accornero F. 69. Ahanor H. 8. Bohinen E. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 16. Leali N. (G) 17. Malinovsky R. 27. Marcandalli A. 73. Masini P. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 14. Vogliacco A. 59. Zanoli A.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Gilardino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Izzo A. 🟨,
45', Bani M. ↓, Vogliacco A. ↑,
45+7', 0 - 1, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Sabelli S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', De Winter K. 🟨,
62', Sabelli S. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
62', Vitinha ↓, Malinovsky R. ↑,
62', Badelj M. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
62', Petagna A. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
62', Maldini D. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
68', Pinamonti A. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
75', Izzo A. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
75', Mota D. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
85', Birindelli S. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
90+1', Thorsby M. 🟨,
90+3', Malinovsky R. 🟨,
90+6', Mari P. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Monza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Genoa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
17.08.24	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.24	Milan - Monza	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Monza - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
29.07.24	Monza - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWTW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
17.08.24	Genoa - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Genoa - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Monaco - Genoa	1:2 ✺
01.08.24	Brescia - Genoa	2:0 ✺
25.07.24	Genoa - Mantova	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.03.24	Genoa - Monza	2:3
10.12.23	Monza - Genoa	1:0

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