Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 22

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	ICE Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4, Canal+ Sport Online, Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Venezia		Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
				Watch
	2.36	3.41	3.22
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.1
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	3.19 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Venezia
41.6%

Draw
28.5%

Verona
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.9%	25%	27.1%

Venezia - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 23 - 50%). Verona will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 35.6% – 64.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stankovic F. (G) 2. Cande F. 4. Idzes J. 5. Haps R. 24. Zerbin A. 97. Doumbia I. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 6. Busio G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 11. Oristanio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)	1. Montipo L. (C) 4. Daniliuc F. 42. Coppola D. 87. Ghilardi D. 38. Tchatchoua J. 25. Serdar S. 6. Belahyane R. 12. Bradaric D. 31. Suslov T. 11. Tengstedt C. 9. Sarr A.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 79. Carboni F. 31. Chiesurin A. 17. Conde C. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 1. Joronen J. (G) 25. Schingtienne J. 10. Yeboah J. 7. Zampano F.	72. Ajayi J. 22. Berardi A. (G) 80. Cisse A. 82. Corradi C. 21. Dani Silva 20. Kastanos G. 7. Lambourde M. 8. Lazovic D. 35. Mosquera D. 15. Okou Y. 34. Perilli S. (G) 14. Rocha Livramento D. 17. Sishuba A.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Zerbin A. ⚽,
40', Tengstedt C. ↓, Kastanos G. ↑,
45+2', Pohjanpalo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Kastanos G. 🟨,
63', Bradaric D. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
68', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Tchatchoua J. ⚽, Sarr A. (A),
80', Doumbia I. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
80', Oristanio G. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
82', Suslov T. ↓, Lazovic D. ↑,
82', Sarr A. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
87', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
87', Zerbin A. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 0.

Recent matches Venezia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verona is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Venezia: Duncan A. (Calf Injury) Sagrado R. (Thigh Injury) Schingtienne J. (Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Dawidowicz P. (Yellow Cards) Duda O. (Red Card) Frese M. (Knee Injury) Harroui A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Candela A. (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
19.01.25	Parma - Venezia	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Napoli - Venezia	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Venezia - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLW
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
19.01.25	Verona - Lazio	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Napoli - Verona	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Verona - Udinese	0:0 ✺
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3 ✺
20.12.24	Verona - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.10.24	Verona - Venezia	2:1
27.02.22	Verona - Venezia	3:1
05.12.21	Venezia - Verona	3:4
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Verona - Venezia	4:3 penalties
Italian Serie B
03.03.19	Verona - Venezia	1:0
21.10.18	Venezia - Verona	1:1

Upcoming Matches