Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 22

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:30	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Chile	14:30	Disney+
China	01:30	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:30	Disney+
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Sport 1
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:30	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	01:30	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	18:30	Match 4, Net4+
India	23:00	GXR World
Indonesia	00:30	Vidio
Israel	19:30	Sport 2
Italy	18:30	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:30	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Macao	01:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	22:30	ICE Sports
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	11:30	Disney+
Montenegro	18:30	Arena Premium 1
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:30	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:30	VG+
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Poland	18:30	CANAL+ Sport 4, Canal+ Sport Online, Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV2
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	20:30	STC TV
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	20:30	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	20:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
United Arab Emirates	21:30	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+
Vietnam	00:30	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	17:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Venezia		Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
				Watch
	2.36	3.41	3.22
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.1
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	3.19 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
41.6%

Draw
28.5%

Verona
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.9%	25%	27.1%

Venezia - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 23 - 50%). Verona will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 35.6% – 64.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stankovic F. (G) 2. Cande F. 4. Idzes J. 5. Haps R. 24. Zerbin A. 97. Doumbia I. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 6. Busio G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 11. Oristanio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)	1. Montipo L. (C) 4. Daniliuc F. 42. Coppola D. 87. Ghilardi D. 38. Tchatchoua J. 25. Serdar S. 6. Belahyane R. 12. Bradaric D. 31. Suslov T. 11. Tengstedt C. 9. Sarr A.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 79. Carboni F. 31. Chiesurin A. 17. Conde C. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 1. Joronen J. (G) 25. Schingtienne J. 10. Yeboah J. 7. Zampano F.	72. Ajayi J. 22. Berardi A. (G) 80. Cisse A. 82. Corradi C. 21. Dani Silva 20. Kastanos G. 7. Lambourde M. 8. Lazovic D. 35. Mosquera D. 15. Okou Y. 34. Perilli S. (G) 14. Rocha Livramento D. 17. Sishuba A.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Zerbin A. ⚽,
40', Tengstedt C. ↓, Kastanos G. ↑,
45+2', Pohjanpalo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Kastanos G. 🟨,
63', Bradaric D. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
68', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Tchatchoua J. ⚽, Sarr A. (A),
80', Doumbia I. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
80', Oristanio G. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
82', Suslov T. ↓, Lazovic D. ↑,
82', Sarr A. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
87', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
87', Zerbin A. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 0.

Recent matches Venezia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verona is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Venezia: Duncan A. (Calf Injury) Sagrado R. (Thigh Injury) Schingtienne J. (Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Dawidowicz P. (Yellow Cards) Duda O. (Red Card) Frese M. (Knee Injury) Harroui A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Candela A. (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
19.01.25	Parma - Venezia	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Napoli - Venezia	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Venezia - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLW
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
19.01.25	Verona - Lazio	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Napoli - Verona	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Verona - Udinese	0:0 ✺
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3 ✺
20.12.24	Verona - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.10.24	Verona - Venezia	2:1
27.02.22	Verona - Venezia	3:1
05.12.21	Venezia - Verona	3:4
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Verona - Venezia	4:3 penalties
Italian Serie B
03.03.19	Verona - Venezia	1:0
21.10.18	Venezia - Verona	1:1

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