Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
India	19:30	GXR World
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Maldives	19:00	ICE Sports
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	17:00	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	17:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus
International	14:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Venezia		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.75
	2.62	3.25	2.75
	2.72	3.33	2.83
	2.7	3.24	2.81	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.8
	2.71	3.33	2.89	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.27)	3.28 ↓ (3.54)	2.79 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
36.2%

Draw
29.4%

Cagliari
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Venezia's form might have worsened.

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.7%	48.4%	12.9%

Venezia - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Cagliari will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 44.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stankovic F. (G) 15. Altare G. 4. Idzes J. 33. Sverko M. 7. Zampano F. 38. Andersen M. K. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 11. Oristanio G. 6. Busio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)	71. Sherri A. (G) 28. Zappa G. 26. Mina Y. 6. Luperto S. 19. Zortea N. 8. Adopo M. 29. Makoumbou A. 14. Deiola A. (C) 3. Augello T. 70. Gaetano G. 91. Piccoli R.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 27. Candela A. 79. Carboni F. 22. Crnigoj D. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 5. Haps R. 1. Joronen J. (G) 25. Schingtienne J. 10. Yeboah J.	37. Azzi P. 1. Ciocci G. (G) 97. Felici M. 21. Jankto J. 9. Lapadula G. 18. Marin R. 80. Mutandwa K. 33. Obert A. 24. Palomino J. L. 30. Pavoletti L. 16. Prati M. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 10. Viola N. 23. Wieteska M.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Zampano F. ⚽, Oristanio G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Deiola A. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
65', Gaetano G. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
65', Zortea N. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Sverko M. ⚽,
70', Andersen M. K. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
72', Mina Y. ↓, Wieteska M. ↑,
72', Piccoli R. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
73', Wieteska M. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Pavoletti L. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
82', Pavoletti L. 🟨,
82', Idzes J. 🟨,
84', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
84', Oristanio G. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
90', Busio G. ↓, Schingtienne J. ↑,
90+1', Zampano F. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Venezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Venezia: Duncan A. (Muscle Injury) Raimondo A. (Injury) Sagrado R. (Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
14.12.24	Juventus - Venezia	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Venezia - Como	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Bologna - Venezia	3:0 ✺
25.11.24	Venezia - Lecce	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Venezia - Parma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLLL
- Cagliari Calcio
Coppa Italia
17.12.24	Juventus - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.24	Cagliari - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Fiorentina - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
29.11.24	Cagliari - Verona	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Genoa - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.05.23	Cagliari - Venezia	2:1
25.02.23	Venezia - Cagliari	0:0
01.10.22	Cagliari - Venezia	1:4
Italian Serie A
22.05.22	Venezia - Cagliari	0:0
01.10.21	Cagliari - Venezia	1:1

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