Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
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Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
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Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Sport 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kuwait	Shasha
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
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Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
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Serbia	Arena Premium 4
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Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
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Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Bologna		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	6	Watch
	1.55	4.1	6
	1.62	3.7	6.4	Watch
	1.62	3.87	6.7
	1.6	3.8	6.32	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6
	1.65	3.85	6.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.81 ↓ (4.11)	6.23 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
59.6%

Draw
25.1%

Verona
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.2%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.4%	3.8%	5.8%

Bologna - Verona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bologna (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Verona (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (47 of 51 users predict this - 92.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.78% – 99.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Verona (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 41. Vitik M. 26. Lucumi J. 17. Joao Mario 19. Ferguson L. (C) 6. Moro N. 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.	1. Montipo L. (C) 5. Edmundsson A. 15. Nelsson V. 3. Frese M. 2. Oyegoke D. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 63. Gagliardini R. 21. Harroui A. 12. Bradaric D. 16. Orban G. 18. Bowie K.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Fauske Helland E. 22. Lykogiannis C. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 23. Sohm S.	73. Al Musrati 7. Belghali R. 70. Cham F. 41. Isaac 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 10. Suslov T. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 6. Valentini N.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Sammarco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bowie K. 🟨,
40', Ferguson L. 🟨,
42', Harroui A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, Rowe J. ⚽, Zortea N. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Frese M. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Bowie K. ⚽, Orban G. (A),
66', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
66', Ferguson L. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
74', Harroui A. ↓, Suslov T. ↑,
77', Rowe J. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
77', Joao Mario ↓, Lykogiannis C. ↑,
82', Oyegoke D. ↓, Valentini N. ↑,
82', Bowie K. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
84', Vitik M. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
90+5', Orban G. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 4.

Bologna has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Verona is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Yellow Cards) Heggem T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Miranda J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury) Serdar S. (Knee Injury) Slotsager T. (Thigh Injury) Suslov T. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Verona: Belghali R. (Injury) Bernede A. (Injury) Lirola P. (Muscle Injury) Lovric S. (Inactive)

We predict that Bologna will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
02.03.26	Pisa - Bologna	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Bologna - Brann	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.02.26	Bologna - Udinese	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Brann - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Sassuolo - Verona	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Parma - Verona	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.01.26	Verona - Bologna	2:3
09.03.25	Verona - Bologna	1:2
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3
23.02.24	Bologna - Verona	2:0
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Bologna - Verona	2:0
Italian Serie A
18.09.23	Verona - Bologna	0:0
21.04.23	Verona - Bologna	2:1

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