Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)


	Ventforet Kofu		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.37	Watch
	2.85	3	2.25
	2.9	3.3	2.35
	2.95	3.15	2.28
	3.09	3.35	2.44
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.06	3.15	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.79)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.34 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
31.3%

Draw
29.1%

Albirex Niigata
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

29.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28.5%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ventforet Kofu's performance.

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albirex Niigata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ventforet Kofu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albirex Niigata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	25%	68.7%

Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kofu won 0.

Recent matches Kofu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Niigata is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kofu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Niigata will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Kofu won 5 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
10.09.22	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.09.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
03.09.22	Tokushima Vortis - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Ventforet Kofu - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:2 ✺
21.08.22	Tokyo Verdy - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTT
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
10.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Tochigi - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.03.22	Albirex Niigata - Ventforet Kofu	2:0
25.09.21	Albirex Niigata - Ventforet Kofu	1:0
05.06.21	Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata	2:2
26.09.20	Albirex Niigata - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
27.06.20	Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata	3:3
21.09.19	Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata	1:1
01.06.19	Albirex Niigata - Ventforet Kofu	0:2

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