Match Info

J2 League - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.3	6	Watch
				Watch
	1.68	3.35	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.58	5.63
	1.72	3.44	4.74	Watch
	1.68	3.33	5.79	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.42 ↓ (3.44)	5.32 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
55.2%

Draw
27.3%

Ventforet Kofu
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokushima Vortis will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 7. Kodama S. 18. Elsinho 14. Hyon R. 10. Sugimoto T. 42. Takagi Y. 9. Thonny Anderson 16. Watari D.	1. Kawata K. (G) 5. Ichinose T. 22. Koide Y. 40. Edu Mancha 14. Tanaka Y. 20. Endo H. 26. Sato K. 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 77. Matheus Leiria 49. Neemias
Substitutes
8. Iwao K. 27. Izuchukwu L. 4. Kaique 29. Mitsui D. (G) 19. Miyazaki J. 97. Moyo M. 13. Nishino T. 55. Shigehiro T. 22. Yanagisawa K.	97. Higashi J. (G) 25. Hiratsuka Y. 6. Kobayashi I. 11. Kumakura K. 9. Mitsuhira K. 44. Naito Y. 21. Renato Augusto 17. Tsuchiya T. 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Masuda K.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Elsinho ⚽, Watari D. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Watari D. ⚽, Takagi Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Neemias ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
46', Endo H. ↓, Tsuchiya T. ↑,
51', Naito Y. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Tanaka Y. ⚽, Araki S. (A),
59', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
59', Watari D. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Kodama S. ⚽,
63', Takagi Y. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
65', Sugimoto T. 🟨,
69', Araki S. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
69', Torikai Y. ↓, Mitsuhira K. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Miyazaki J. ⚽, Thonny Anderson (A),
77', Hyon R. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
77', Sugimoto T. ↓, Nishino T. ↑,
80', Sato K. ↓, Hiratsuka Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 2.

Tokushima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kofu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tokushima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tokushima is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	0:4 ✺
05.10.25	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWWW
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Ventforet Kofu - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Fujieda MYFC - Ventforet Kofu	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	0:2
06.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	1:3
25.02.24	Tokushima Vortis - Ventforet Kofu	1:5
22.07.23	Tokushima Vortis - Ventforet Kofu	1:2
24.02.23	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
03.09.22	Tokushima Vortis - Ventforet Kofu	2:0
25.05.22	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	1:1

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