Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)


	Avispa Fukuoka		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.87	2.7
	2.55	2.75	2.75
	2.45	3	3
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.76	3.07	2.9
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.67	2.94	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.78)	2.9 ↓ (3.15)	2.83 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
35.7%

Draw
31.8%

Ventforet Kofu
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

28.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ventforet Kofu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ventforet Kofu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	11.4%	28.6%

Avispa Fukuoka - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 21 - 60%). Kofu will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.

Avispa Fukuoka has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kofu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Avispa Fukuoka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
03.09.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus	2:3 ✺
31.08.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Sagan Tosu - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:4 ✺
14.08.22	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
03.09.22	Tokushima Vortis - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Ventforet Kofu - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:2 ✺
21.08.22	Tokyo Verdy - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
17.08.22	JEF United Chiba - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Ventforet Kofu - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
10.10.20	Ventforet Kofu - Avispa Fukuoka	0:2
08.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Ventforet Kofu	2:2
10.11.19	Ventforet Kofu - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0
18.05.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Ventforet Kofu	0:3
04.08.18	Ventforet Kofu - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
17.03.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Ventforet Kofu	0:2
Japan J1 League
22.10.16	Avispa Fukuoka - Ventforet Kofu	1:2

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