Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 34

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.47	3.4	2.27
	3.3	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3	3.3	2.1
	3.23	3.38	2.1	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)	2.16 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
29%

Draw
28%

Fagiano Okayama
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

27.8%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Shibuya T. (G) 23. Sekiguchi M. 16. Hayashida K. 21. Renato 24. Iida T. 14. Nakayama R. 26. Sato K. 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 51. Adailton 9. Mitsuhira K.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 15. Motoyama H. 24. Fujita I. 7. Takeuchi R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 39. Hayakawa J. 19. Iwabuchi H. 99. Lucao
Substitutes
41. Inoue M. 34. Kimura T. 40. Mancha E. 18. Misawa N. 44. Naito Y. 99. Utaka P. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)	33. Kamiya Yuta 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kimura T. 11. Ota R. 2. Takagi Y. 6. Wakasa Y. 5. Yanagi Y.
Coaches
Otsuka S.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Hayakawa J. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
55', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Adailton ⚽, Nakayama R. (A),
58', 2 - 0, Adailton ⚽,
64', Abe K. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
65', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Iida T. ⚽, Nakayama R. (A),
73', Sueyoshi R. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
73', Mitsuhira K. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
78', Lucao ↓, Wakasa Y. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Tagami D. ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
80', Adailton ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
90', Torikai Y. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
90', Iida T. ↓, Inoue M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kofu won 1.

Kofu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Okayama is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kofu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Kofu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
28.09.24	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Ventforet Kofu - Roasso Kumamoto	2:4 ✺
21.09.24	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Yokohama FC - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Ventforet Kofu - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLT
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
29.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Fagiano Okayama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.05.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu	2:0
24.06.23	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
19.03.23	Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu	2:3
09.10.22	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	1:2
20.02.22	Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu	4:1
03.11.21	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	1:2
03.07.21	Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu	1:3

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