Match Info

J1 League - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fagiano Okayama		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.90	5.50	Watch
	1.58	3.80	5.75
	1.77	3.40	4.40	Watch
	1.64	4.06	5.95
	1.86	3.56	4.29	Watch
	1.61	3.95	5.65
	1.63	3.98	5.35	Watch
	1.61	3.90	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.17)	3.82 ↑ (3.26)	5.29 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
57.3%

Draw
24.8%

V-Varen Nagasaki
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fagiano Okayama's performance.

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and V-Varen Nagasaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Fagiano Okayama - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 60%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moser L. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 51. Shirai K. 41. Miyamoto E. 80. Oberdan 88. Yamane T. 10. Na Sang-Ho 8. Esaka A. (C) 99. Lucao	1. Goto M. (C) 50. Shindo R. 4. Dudu Giusti 25. Ominami T. 3. Sekiguchi M. 5. Yamaguchi H. 24. Yamada R. 22. Onaga H. 41. Hasegawa M. 8. Iwasaki Y. 18. Yamasaki R.
Substitutes
79. Browne N. 24. Fujita I. 22. Ichimi K. 33. Kamiya Yuta 9. Leo Gaucho 13. Matsuda S. (G) 44. Mori S. 66. Nishikawa J. 5. Shu I.	29. Arai I. 21. Diego Pituca 13. Hatano G. (G) 45. Hyeung-jun N. 39. Kou R. 34. Matsumoto T. 19. Sawada T. 9. Thiago 23. Yoneda S.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Takagi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Dudu Giusti ↓, Arai I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yamasaki R. ↓, Thiago ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Lucao ⚽, Miyamoto E. (A),
64', Yamaguchi H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
65', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
65', Lucao ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
74', Yoneda S. 🟨,
75', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishikawa J. ↑,
76', Esaka A. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
81', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Kou R. ↑,
90', Miyamoto E. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
90', Shirai K. ↓, Shu I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.

Okayama has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recently, Okayama has had a series of away games.

Okayama might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Okayama: Kimura T. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Onaga H. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Okayama: 1.92% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4:9	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Fagiano Okayama - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
08.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Schalke 04 - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Werder Bremen - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Kharkiv - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Paderborn - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League
09.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	2:1
21.03.26	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1
Japan J2 League
29.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
12.05.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
16.07.23	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
17.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
17.09.22	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:0

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