Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Gifu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.55
	1.93	3.6	3.7
	1.68	3.98	4.45	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	1.87	3.44	3.65	Watch
	2.14	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.14)	3.56 ↑ (3.35)	3.67 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
49.1%

Draw
25.8%

Gifu
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iwaki's performance.

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Iwaki - Gifu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S. 10. Nishitani R. 13. Murakami H. 16. Araki M. 29. Tanaka K. 28. Hisanaga R.	31. Serantes J. (G) 85. Hakozaki T. 27. Haneda K. 4. Kai K. 7. Mun In-Ju 6. Fukuta A. 9. Nakamura S. 19. Matsumoto A. 10. Kita R. 14. Oiji Y. 17. Kawamoto R.
Substitutes
3. Endo R. 39. Joo H. (G) 11. Kato T. 2. Konno I. 15. Nakano H. 32. Owie W. 30. Shota K. 22. Takahashi Y. 14. Yamaguchi D.	99. Fabio Azevedo 3. Hagino K. 40. Hirase D. 66. Kim Yu-Geon 26. Ogushi S. 51. Suganuma K. (G) 18. Wade M. 21. Yokoyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Dohana K. 🟥,
34', Hisanaga R. ↓, Endo R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Murakami H. ↓, Yamaguchi D. ↑,
64', Mun In-Ju 🟨,
65', Matsumoto A. ↓, Yokoyama T. ↑,
65', Kita R. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Mun In-Ju ⚽,
74', Nagaki R. ↓, Nakano H. ↑,
79', Mun In-Ju ↓, Ogushi S. ↑,
80', Kuwata T. 🟨,
81', Araki M. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
81', Nishitani R. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
87', Kai K. 🟨,
90+2', Oiji Y. ↓, Hirase D. ↑,
90+4', Serantes J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Iwaki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gifu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Iwaki is the team to beat.

We predict that Iwaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.14%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Iwaki - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fukushima United - Iwaki	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Iwaki	2:3 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- FC Gifu
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Júbilo Iwata - Gifu	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Fukushima United - Gifu	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gifu - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
22.02.26	Gifu - Iwaki	1:0 penalties
Japan J3 League
25.09.22	Iwaki - Gifu	2:1
10.07.22	Gifu - Iwaki	1:2

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