Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Verona		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.75
	1.79	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.65	4.5
	1.81	3.77	4.82
	1.78	3.6	4.8	Watch
	1.81	3.78	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)	4.7 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
53.9%

Draw
25.8%

Crotone
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

16.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.2%	12.6%	4.2%

Verona - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: Verona will win (79 of 95 users predict this - 83.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.63% – 90.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Verona has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Verona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Verona is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Verona won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
06.01.21	Torino - Verona	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	Spezia - Verona	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Verona - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Fiorentina - Verona	1:1 ✺
16.12.20	Verona - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
06.01.21	Crotone - Roma	1:3 ✺
03.01.21	Inter Milan - Crotone	6:2 ✺
22.12.20	Crotone - Parma	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Sampdoria - Crotone	3:1 ✺
15.12.20	Udinese - Crotone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.02.19	Verona - Crotone	1:1
22.09.18	Crotone - Verona	1:2
Italian Serie A
21.01.18	Verona - Crotone	0:3
27.08.17	Crotone - Verona	0:0
Coppa Italia
14.08.16	Verona - Crotone	2:1
Italian Serie B
24.03.13	Verona - Crotone	3:2
30.10.12	Crotone - Verona	3:3

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