Match Info

Date: 6 January 2021, Wednesday


	Crotone		Roma

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.45	Watch
	7	4.6	1.45
	6.5	4.3	1.5	Watch
	6.8	4.7	1.43
	7.16	4.57	1.5
	7	4.4	1.47	Watch
	7.4	4.5	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.91 ↓ (7.12)	4.55 ↓ (4.9)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
13.9%

Draw
21.1%

Roma
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

19.5%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

16.9%

77.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Crotone - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (44 of 52 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 94.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage)).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Roma has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (55%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Recent matches Crotone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
03.01.21	Inter Milan - Crotone	6:2 ✺
22.12.20	Crotone - Parma	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Sampdoria - Crotone	3:1 ✺
15.12.20	Udinese - Crotone	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Crotone - Spezia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLTW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
03.01.21	Roma - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
23.12.20	Roma - Cagliari	3:2 ✺
20.12.20	Atalanta - Roma	4:1 ✺
17.12.20	Roma - Torino	3:1 ✺
13.12.20	Bologna - Roma	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.03.18	Crotone - Roma	0:2
25.10.17	Roma - Crotone	1:0
12.02.17	Crotone - Roma	0:2
21.09.16	Roma - Crotone	4:0

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