Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Sampdoria		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.4
	1.84	3.45	4.6	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.1
	1.89	3.65	4.52
	1.83	3.6	4.4	Watch
	1.88	3.76	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	3.61 ↓ (3.67)	4.39 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
51.7%

Draw
26.5%

Crotone
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.8%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sampdoria have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	16%	7.4%

Sampdoria - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 62 - 76.5%). Crotone will win (votes: 6 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 67.3% – 85.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Sampdoria has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sampdoria is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
16.12.20	Verona - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
13.12.20	Napoli - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
06.12.20	Sampdoria - Milan	1:2 ✺
30.11.20	Torino - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
26.11.20	Sampdoria - Genoa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
15.12.20	Udinese - Crotone	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Crotone - Spezia	4:1 ✺
06.12.20	Crotone - Napoli	0:4 ✺
29.11.20	Bologna - Crotone	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Crotone - Lazio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
18.08.19	Crotone - Sampdoria	1:3
Italian Serie A
11.03.18	Crotone - Sampdoria	4:1
21.10.17	Sampdoria - Crotone	5:0
23.04.17	Sampdoria - Crotone	1:2
27.11.16	Crotone - Sampdoria	1:1
Italian Serie B
06.04.12	Crotone - Sampdoria	N/A

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