Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	Crotone		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.8
	2.55	3.3	2.7
	2.47	3.15	2.75
	2.55	3.55	2.83
	2.55	3.4	2.6
	2.47	3.6	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.6)	3.39 ↓ (3.41)	2.72 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
37.8%

Draw
27.7%

Parma
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	54.8%	12.9%

Crotone - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Parma will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 54.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.3% – 72.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Crotone is Relegated to

Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (100%), has project points - 27, has currently - 26, was already of relegated.

Parma has the most likely position - 14 (52.42%), has project points - 47, has currently - 46, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 31, very small importance 0, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Crotone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Parma is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
30.04.22	Pordenone - Crotone	3:3 ✺
25.04.22	Crotone - Cremonese	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	SPAL - Crotone	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Crotone - Ternana	1:2 ✺
06.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWTLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
30.04.22	Parma - Alessandria	2:2 ✺
25.04.22	Perugia - Parma	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Parma - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
11.04.22	Brescia - Parma	1:0 ✺
06.04.22	Parma - Como	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.01.22	Parma - Crotone	1:1
Italian Serie A
24.04.21	Parma - Crotone	3:4
22.12.20	Crotone - Parma	2:1

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