Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ADDITIONAL MATCH - FINAL

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Orsato D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Spezia		Verona

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.7
	2.8	3	2.65
	2.75	3.05	2.75
	2.63	3	2.5
	2.99	3.06	2.73
	2.62	2.9	2.5
	2.86	3.14	2.61	Watch
	2.85	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.08)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)	2.63 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
33.4%

Draw
31%

Verona
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Spezia - Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 55. Wisniewski P. 4. Ampadu E. 43. Nikolaou D. (C) 21. Ferrer S. 77. Zurkowski S. 25. Esposito Sa. 6. Bourabia M. 13. Reca A. 18. Nzola M. 14. Shomurodov E.	1. Montipo L. (G) 23. Magnani G. 6. Hien I. 27. Dawidowicz P. 5. Faraoni D. (C) 61. Tameze A. 77. Sulemana I. 29. Depaoli F. 26. Ngonge C. 8. Lazovic D. 19. Djuric M.
Substitutes
33. Agudelo K. 72. Cipot T. 8. Ekdal A. 24. Kovalenko V. 19. Krollis R. 22. Marchetti F. (G) 10. Verde D. 1. Zoet J. (G) 40. Zovko P. (G)	28. Abildgaard O. 22. Berardi A. (G) 25. Braaf J. 32. Cabal J. D. 17. Ceccherini F. 42. Coppola D. 3. Doig J. 38. Gaich A. 10. Hrustic A. 30. Kallon Y. 11. Lasagna K. 34. Perilli S. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 4. Veloso M. 7. Verdi S.
Coaches
Semplici L.	Zaffaroni M.

Preview

Neutral location - Dacia Arena.

Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (99.97%), project points - 31, currently - 31, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Verona has the most likely position - 18 (99.97%), project points - 31, currently - 31, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Verona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Spezia: Beck J. (Foot Injury) Holm E. (Groin Injury) Moutinho J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Duda O. (Knee Injury) Henry T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie A
04.06.23	Roma - Spezia	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Spezia - Torino	0:4 ✺
21.05.23	Lecce - Spezia	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	Spezia - Milan	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Cremonese - Spezia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTWL
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
04.06.23	Milan - Verona	3:1 ✺
28.05.23	Verona - Empoli	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Atalanta - Verona	3:1 ✺
14.05.23	Verona - Torino	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Lecce - Verona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.03.23	Spezia - Verona	0:0
13.11.22	Verona - Spezia	1:2
06.01.22	Spezia - Verona	1:2
03.10.21	Verona - Spezia	4:0
01.05.21	Verona - Spezia	1:1
03.01.21	Spezia - Verona	0:1
Italian Serie B
17.05.19	Verona - Spezia	Canceled

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