Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	20:45	Z Sports 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN 4
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 4
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON E Channel, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Lecce		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.58	2.82	3.25	Watch
	2.54	2.87	3.52
	2.52	2.86	3.31	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.2
	2.54	2.97	3.51
	2.45	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.26)	2.86 ↓ (3.09)	3.37 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lecce
38.3%

Draw
33.4%

Pisa
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	53.7%	13%

Lecce - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 17 - 32.1%). Pisa will win (votes: 7 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 54.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.3% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Pisa (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Lecce (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lecce (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Pisa (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 18 - 69.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 3. Ndaba C. 29. Coulibaly L. 20. Ramadani Y. 50. Pierotti S. 10. Berisha M. 23. Sottil R. 22. Camarda F.	1. Semper A. (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 21. Vural I. 20. Aebischer M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Leris M. 32. Moreo S. 9. Meister H.
Substitutes
19. Banda L. 95. Bleve D. (G) 25. Gallo A. 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 77. Kaba M. 21. Kouassi C. 93. Maleh Y. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 9. Stulic N. 7. Tete Morente	39. Albiol R. 3. Angori S. 94. Bonfanti G. 16. Buffon L. 26. Coppola F. 44. Denoon D. 19. Esteves T. 8. Hojholt M. 99. Lorran 6. Marin M. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 10. Tramoni M.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Gilardino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Berisha M. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
33', Calabresi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Calabresi A. ↓, Albiol R. ↑,
59', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
59', Moreo S. ↓, Tramoni M. ↑,
66', Pierotti S. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
67', Camarda F. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Stulic N. ⚽, Banda L. (A),
74', Ndaba C. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
74', Sottil R. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
82', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
85', Tete Morente 🟨,
90', Gaspar K. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lecce will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pisa: Nzola M. (Red Card) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Lecce - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lecce - Verona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fiorentina - Lecce	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLTW
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pisa - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	2:2 ✺
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Torino - Pisa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Lecce - Pisa	2:0
11.12.21	Pisa - Lecce	1:0
05.04.21	Pisa - Lecce	0:1
19.12.20	Lecce - Pisa	0:3
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
27.04.14	Pisa - Lecce	1:0
15.12.13	Lecce - Pisa	2:0

Upcoming Matches