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Lecce - Pisa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 15
  • Date: 12 December 2025, Friday
  • Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Lecce Pisa
    Lecce Pisa
    1 X 2
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    Bovada 2.45 2.85 3.4
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.5 ↑
    (2.26)    		 2.86 ↓
    (3.09)    		 3.37 ↓
    (3.51)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Lecce
    38.3%    		Draw
    33.4%    		Pisa
    28.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    42.1% 30.8% 27.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    42.7% 30.4% 26.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    33.3% 53.7% 13%

    Lecce - Pisa Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 17 - 32.1%). Pisa will win (votes: 7 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 54.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.3% – 68.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Pisa (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Lecce (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lecce (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Pisa (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 18 - 69.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. ItalyFalcone W. (C)
    17. PortugalVeiga D.
      4. AngolaGaspar K.
    44. PortugalTiago Gabriel
      3. IrelandNdaba C.
    29. MaliCoulibaly L.
    20. AlbaniaRamadani Y.
    50. ArgentinaPierotti S.
    10. AlbaniaBerisha M.
    23. ItalySottil R.
    22. ItalyCamarda F.
    		  1. CroatiaSemper A. (G)
    33. ItalyCalabresi A.
      4. ItalyCaracciolo Ant. (C)
      5. ItalyCanestrelli S.
    15. GermanyToure I.
    21. TurkeyVural I.
    20. SwitzerlandAebischer M.
    14. NigeriaAkinsanmiro E.
      7. AlgeriaLeris M.
    32. ItalyMoreo S.
      9. DenmarkMeister H.
    Substitutes
    19. ZambiaBanda L.
    95. ItalyBleve D. (G)
    25. ItalyGallo A.
    28. NetherlandsGorter O.
    14. IcelandHelgason T. J.
    77. FranceKaba M.
    21. IvoryKouassi C.
    93. MoroccoMaleh Y.
    11. IvoryNdri K.
    13. ChilePerez M.
      6. SpainSala A.
    32. FinlandSamooja J. (G)
      5. GermanySiebert J.
      9. SerbiaStulic N.
      7. SpainTete Morente
    		39. SpainAlbiol R.
      3. ItalyAngori S.
    94. ItalyBonfanti G.
    16. CzechBuffon L.
    26. ItalyCoppola F.
    44. SwitzerlandDenoon D.
    19. PortugalEsteves T.
      8. DenmarkHojholt M.
    99. BrazilLorran
      6. RomaniaMarin M.
    47. BrazilMateus Lusuardi
    12. BrazilNicolas Andrade (G)
    36. ItalyPiccinini G.
    22. ItalyScuffet S. (G)
    10. ItalyTramoni M.
    Coaches
         ItalyDi Francesco E.
    		     ItalyGilardino A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 11', Berisha M. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
    • 33', Calabresi A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Calabresi A. ↓, Albiol R. ↑,
    • 59', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
    • 59', Moreo S. ↓, Tramoni M. ↑,
    • 66', Pierotti S. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
    • 67', Camarda F. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
    • 72', 1 - 0, Stulic N. ⚽, Banda L. (A),
    • 74', Ndaba C. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
    • 74', Sottil R. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
    • 82', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
    • 85', Tete Morente 🟨,
    • 90', Gaspar K. 🟨,

    Preview

  • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Lecce will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)
  • There will not play in Pisa: Nzola M. (Red Card) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Pisa: Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury)
  • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Lecce
    Italian Serie A
    07.12.25 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    30.11.25 Lecce - Torino 2:1 ✺
    23.11.25 Lazio - Lecce 2:0 ✺
    08.11.25 Lecce - Verona 0:0 ✺
    02.11.25 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7
    LWLTW
    - AC Pisa
    Italian Serie A
    08.12.25 Pisa - Parma 0:1 ✺
    30.11.25 Pisa - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    24.11.25 Sassuolo - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    07.11.25 Pisa - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    02.11.25 Torino - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6
    LLTWT
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie B
    25.04.22 Lecce - Pisa 2:0
    11.12.21 Pisa - Lecce 1:0
    05.04.21 Pisa - Lecce 0:1
    19.12.20 Lecce - Pisa 0:3
    Italian Lega Pro C1/B
    27.04.14 Pisa - Lecce 1:0
    15.12.13 Lecce - Pisa 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Lecce
    Italian Serie A
    11.10.26 Lecce - Bologna ✺
    - AC Pisa
    Italian Serie B
    10.10.26 Vicenza Virtus - Pisa ✺

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