Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 16

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Lecce		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.4
	2.18	3.25	3.45	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.66
	2.19	3.36	3.66
	2.1	3.4	3.25
	2.21	3.32	3.44	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.08)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
43.9%

Draw
28.7%

Frosinone
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	46.4%	21.4%

Lecce - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Frosinone will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (G) 17. Gendrey V. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Baschirotto F. 25. Gallo A. 29. Blin A. 20. Ramadani Y. 10. Oudin R. 27. Strefezza G. (C) 91. Piccoli R. 22. Banda L.	80. Turati S. (G) 20. Lirola P. 5. Okoli C. 6. Romagnoli S. (C) 22. Oyono A. 14. Gelli F. 45. Barrenechea E. 4. Brescianini M. 18. Soule M. 9. Kaio Jorge 27. Ibrahimovic A.
Substitutes
18. Berisha M. 21. Brancolini F. (G) 23. Faticanti G. 77. Kaba M. 9. Krstovic N. 19. Listkowski M. 8. Rafia H. 40. Samooja J. (G) 11. Sansone N. 26. Smajlovic Z. 59. Touba A. 12. Venuti L.	7. Baez J. 24. Bourabia M. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 21. Harroui A. 17. Kvernadze G. 8. Lulic K. 47. Lusuardi M. 30. Monterisi I.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Di Francesco E.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lecce will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Lecce: Almqvist P. (Injury) Gonzalez J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Kalaj S. (Injury) Marchizza R. (Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Reinier (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lecce won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
11.12.23	Empoli - Lecce	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Lecce - Bologna	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Verona - Lecce	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Lecce - Milan	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Roma - Lecce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
10.12.23	Frosinone - Torino	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Milan - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Frosinone - Genoa	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Inter Milan - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Frosinone - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.04.22	Lecce - Frosinone	1:0
20.11.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:0
20.03.21	Frosinone - Lecce	0:3
12.12.20	Lecce - Frosinone	2:2
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Lecce - Frosinone	4:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
07.06.14	Frosinone - Lecce	3:1 ET
01.06.14	Lecce - Frosinone	1:1

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