Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Mantova		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.53	4.05	5.41
	1.52	4.05	5.41
	1.5	3.75	5.8
	1.54	3.64	5.65
	1.55	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	5.42 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
59.3%

Draw
23.9%

Pergolettese
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mantova's performance.

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mantova - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 18. Suagher E. 5. Redolfi A. 16. Cavalli T. 4. Celesia C. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 30. Bragantini D. 14. Galuppini F. 90. Giacomelli S. 7. Mensah D.	22. Soncin M. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 4. Arini M. 35. Piccinini S. 7. Bariti D. 80. Jaouhari Z. 18. Artioli F. 5. Figoli M. 3. Lambrughi A. 70. Caia F. 11. Guiu B.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 13. Brignani F. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 45. Monachello G. 28. Muroni M. 22. Napoli A. 23. Panizzi E. 17. Radaelli N. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.	6. Andreoli L. 30. Bignami R. 77. Bozzuto R. 99. Caccavo L. 33. Capoferri M. 1. Cattaneo M. (G) 8. Cerasani J. 12. Doldi F. (G)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2.

Mantova in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mantova to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Virtus Verona - Mantova	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Mantova - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Mantova - Novara	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Pro Patria - Mantova	0:0 ✺
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTW
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Pergolettese - Legnago Salus	3:2 ✺
24.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Pergolettese - Trento	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
26.02.23	Pergolettese - Mantova	0:0
23.10.22	Mantova - Pergolettese	2:1
10.04.22	Mantova - Pergolettese	0:2
04.12.21	Pergolettese - Mantova	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
16.02.14	Mantova - Pergolettese	2:1
13.10.13	Pergolettese - Mantova	0:0

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