Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Martinez (Tocoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Real Sociedad Tocoa		Victoria La Ceiba

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.44	3.2	2.65
	2.42	2.7	3.32
	2.47	3.28	2.82	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.34	3.2	2.71	Watch
	2.44	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.76)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	2.81 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad Tocoa
38.2%

Draw
29.2%

Victoria La Ceiba
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

29.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad Tocoa's performance.

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad Tocoa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+5%)

Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Sociedad Tocoa (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad Tocoa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Reyes F. (G) 3. Ramirez W. 16. Jones A. 22. Gonzalez O. 25. Gomez A. 2. Martinez D. 15. Dominguez J. 23. Delgado E. 32. Monico D. 7. Reyes D. 11. Martinez R.	23. Salazar A. (G) 3. Cacho P. 18. Rodriguez D. 24. Silva F. 28. Barrios A. 5. Banegas A. 7. Calix C. 10. Franco L. 20. Espinal M. 9. Delgadillo D. 17. Bernardez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Reyes D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Monico D. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
46', Franco L. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
46', Calix C. ↓, Arzu ↑,
67', Ramirez W. 🟨,
70', Delgado E. 🟨,
71', Reyes D. ↓, Asprilla L. ↑,
76', Barrios A. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
76', Banegas A. ↓, Abbott K. ↑,
79', Kelly K. 🟨,
81', Delgadillo D. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
84', Martinez R. ↓, Dolmo Y. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Bernardez C. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 3.

Real Sociedad Tocoa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Victoria La Ceiba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad Tocoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad Tocoa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.04.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Olancho - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLL
- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
20.04.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Real España	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
22.02.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0
07.11.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:3
31.08.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0
10.03.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0
21.01.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	3:2
19.10.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:0
20.08.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0

Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide