Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Humberto Micheletti (El Progreso)


	Honduras Progreso		Olancho

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.27	3.68	1.75
	3.58	3.75	1.85
	3.4	3.7	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.9)	3.68 ↑ (3.36)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras Progreso
26.7%

Draw
24.4%

Olancho
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

26.5%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honduras Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Honduras Progreso - Olancho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Honduras Progreso is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olancho is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olancho will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Honduras Progreso won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.04.23	Real España - Honduras Progreso	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso	4:2 ✺
04.03.23	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Honduras Progreso	0:0 ✺
01.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Vida	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTLTL
- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.04.23	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Olancho - Motagua	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Vida - Olancho	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	4:1 ✺
01.03.23	CD Marathón - Olancho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
12.02.23	Olancho - Honduras Progreso	2:0
09.10.22	Olancho - Honduras Progreso	2:1
10.08.22	Honduras Progreso - Olancho	2:2

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