The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vida 30.9%
Draw 27.5%
Real Sociedad Tocoa 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
27.4%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vida's form might have worsened.
Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad Tocoa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad Tocoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Bengoche A. (G) 32. Bernardez M. (C) 18. Palacios D. 35. Suazo D. 19. Portillo J. 27. Chimilio L. 13. Manaiza C. 10. Canales M. 4. Espinoza S. 11. Villafranca J. 9. Tellas G.
27. Reyes F. (G) 61. Guiti Marin K. J. 13. Ortiz L. 31. Bernardez K. 12. Torres A. 34. Ramos J. 2. Martinez D. 23. Delgado E. 47. Arzu M. 18. Bernardez C. 11. Martinez R. (C)
Substitutes
23. Castrillo J. 20. Centeno J. 33. Cruz R. 16. Funez E. 7. Garcia M. 21. Martinez F. 24. Mejia F. 25. Palacios J. 6. Sander R. 28. Valdez Oseguera J. M. (G) 15. Villalta Y. 5. Zuniga A.
22. Bernardez R. 14. Cardona J. 17. Gonzalez S. 20. Gotay P. 15. Hernandez Alvarez A. S. 19. Marin N. 30. Matute K. 25. Pozantes S. 5. Quiroz J. 7. Reyes D. 1. Rodriguez R. (G)
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vida won 1.
Vida is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Real Sociedad Tocoa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real Sociedad Tocoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Vida won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Vida won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.