Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Olancho		Real Sociedad Tocoa

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.59	3.6	5.2
	1.61	3.77	5.64	Watch
	1.62	4.23	4.64	Watch
	1.59	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	4.96 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
56.3%

Draw
25.1%

Real Sociedad Tocoa
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Olancho - Real Sociedad Tocoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fonseca H. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 3. Lasso J. 19. Benitez E. 33. Munoz N. 5. Sander R. 8. Gomez H. 10. Lopez A. 23. Delgado J. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 20. Hernandez E.	1. Roa A. (G) 16. Jones A. 22. Gonzalez O. 25. Gomez A. 34. Ramos J. 2. Martinez D. 6. Martinez A. N. 15. Dominguez J. 9. Martinez G. 11. Martinez R. 19. Diaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
25', Diaz S. ↓, Asprilla L. ↑,
27', Jones A. 🟥,
28', 2 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
39', Gomez A. ↓, Gotay P. ↑,
42', 3 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
45+2', Almendarez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez R. ↓, Delgado E. ↑,
46', Martinez A. N. ↓, Ramirez W. ↑,
46', Munoz N. ↓, Cubas C. ↑,
46', Sander R. ↓, Elvir O. ↑,
49', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
52', Gotay P. 🟨,
56', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Granja S. ↑,
57', Gomez H. ↓, Banegas Y. ↑,
67', Ramos J. ↓, Dolmo Y. ↑,
77', Lopez A. ↓, Betanco J. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olancho won 1.

Olancho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Sociedad Tocoa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Olancho is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Olancho won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:7 (average 1.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Olancho won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.03.25	Motagua - Olancho	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Olancho - Real España	0:3 ✺
22.02.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Olancho - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTT
- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
13.03.25	Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Juticalpa	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
29.01.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	2:2
27.10.24	Olancho - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2
18.08.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	0:0
13.03.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	0:2
28.01.24	Olancho - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:1
22.10.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	0:1
28.08.23	Olancho - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:0

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