Match Info

3. Liga - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Hohenberg (Cologne)

Referee: Lutz D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Viktoria Köln		VfB Stuttgart II

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.42	3.4	2.68	Watch
	2.48	3.63	2.73
	2.41	3.7	2.6	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.6
	2.36	3.36	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.49)	3.45 ↓ (3.53)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Köln
38.1%

Draw
26.7%

VfB Stuttgart II
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for VfB Stuttgart II aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Viktoria Köln - VfB Stuttgart II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Stuttgart II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viktoria Köln: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Viktoria Köln (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Schulz A. (G) 19. Sponsel M. 22. Boboy V. 2. Dietz L. 18. Kloss T. 7. Handle S. 8. Engelhardt F. 21. Wolf L. M. 5. Munst L. 10. Otto D. 23. Zank B.	1. Hellstern F. (G) 24. Olivier C. 4. Herwerth M. 29. Nothnagel D. 23. Spalt Y. 8. Di Benedetto S. 5. Catovic M. 31. Darvich N. 7. Penna L. 26. Diehl J. 44. Sankoh M.
Substitutes
3. Agyekum J. 39. Albers F. 6. Eisenhuth T. 41. Kozuki S. 29. Popp L. 40. Richter D. (G) 34. Ronstadt F. 16. Sachse J. 11. Velasco R.	19. Fressle K. 6. Groiss A. 39. Jatta N. 13. Kohler T. 18. Luers J. 17. Nankishi A. 27. Ouro-Tagba M. 10. Sessa N. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)
Coaches
Wilhelm M.	Willig N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Diehl J. ↓, Ouro-Tagba M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Sponsel M. 🟨,
58', Herwerth M. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Sponsel M. ⚽,
63', Herwerth M. ↓, Groiss A. ↑,
63', Penna L. ↓, Sessa N. ↑,
63', Sankoh M. ↓, Fressle K. ↑,
77', Kloss T. ↓, Eisenhuth T. ↑,
77', Otto D. ↓, Sachse J. ↑,
77', Munst L. ↓, Velasco R. ↑,
83', Olivier C. ↓, Luers J. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Sachse J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Viktoria Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Viktoria Köln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viktoria Koln	7	5	0	2	19:9	10	15
14	Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13:16	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Köln - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
22.02.26	Hoffenheim II - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Jahn Regensburg - Viktoria Köln	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTTLW
- VfB Stuttgart II
German 3 Bundesliga
20.02.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Saarbrücken - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	VfB Stuttgart II - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Verl - VfB Stuttgart II	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ingolstadt - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Viktoria Köln	2:1
08.04.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Viktoria Köln	1:2
01.11.24	Viktoria Köln - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0

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