Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Heft F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Bayreuth		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.44
	6	4.8	1.44
	6	4.35	1.45
	5.7	4.7	1.45
	6.63	4.82	1.47
	6	4.33	1.4
	6	4.8	1.44	Watch
	5.6	4.5	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↑ (5)	4.6 ↑ (4.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
15.5%

Draw
20.1%

Elversberg
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

20.6%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

20.4%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Bayreuth - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Recent matches Bayreuth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elversberg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Elversberg is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
05.11.22	Duisburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Bayreuth - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
24.10.22	Hallescher - Bayreuth	3:0 ✺
16.10.22	Bayreuth - Verl	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Meppen - Bayreuth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWLLW
- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
05.11.22	Elversberg - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	Elversberg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLW

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