Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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Mexico	Disney+
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Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Viktoria Plzeň		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.6
	2.85	3.3	2.6
	2.87	3.3	2.62
	3.15	3.52	2.19	Watch
	2.95	3.43	2.6
	2.71	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	3.34 ↓ (3.52)	2.54 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
33.4%

Draw
28.7%

Freiburg
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	21.9%	68.7%

Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Plzeň (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Freiburg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 2 - 20%). Freiburg (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 40. Dweh S. 21. Jemelka V. 14. Doski M. 19. Souare C. 6. Cerv L. 32. Valenta M. 99. Memic A. 11. Vydra M. (C) 17. Durosinmi R. 80. Adu P.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 20. Adamu J.
Substitutes
72. Bello J. 24. Havel M. 23. Jedlicka M. (G) 7. Kabongo C. 18. Ladra T. 3. Markovic S. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 9. Visinsky D. 85. Zeljkovic A.	27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 24. Huth J. (G) 5. Jung A. 44. Manzambi J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B. 7. Scherhant D. 29. Treu P.
Coaches
Hysky M.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Dweh S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vydra M. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
46', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
61', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
69', Eggestein M. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
69', Suzuki Y. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
74', Gunter C. 🟨,
82', Hofler N. 🟨,
82', Valenta M. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
83', Gunter C. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
89', Adu P. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
90+2', Doski M. 🟨,
90+5', Souare C. ↓, Havel M. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Plzeň have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.

Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Plzeň: Hejda L. (Inactive) Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Paluska J. (Surgery) Panos J. (Convalescence)

There will not play in Freiburg: Irie C. (Illness) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Freiburg - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
23.11.25	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
02.11.25	Teplice - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Czech Cup
29.10.25	Nové Sady - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTWW
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTW

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