Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
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Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Nice		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.5
	2.85	3.3	2.6
	2.87	3.32	2.61
	2.52	3.41	2.71	Watch
	2.83	3.41	2.72
	2.6	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.52)	3.37 ↓ (3.41)	2.62 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
35%

Draw
28.4%

Freiburg
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	35.7%	28.6%

Nice - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 18% – 53.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Freiburg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nice (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 26. Bard M. (C) 47. Gouveia T. 24. Vanhoutte C. 99. Abdul Samed S. 2. Abdi A. 10. Diop S. 90. Kevin 7. Boga J.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 7. Scherhant D. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. (C) 20. Adamu J.
Substitutes
6. Boudaoui H. 25. Cho M. 31. Dupe M. (G) 21. Jansson I. 20. Louchet T. 36. Mantsounga B. 22. Ndombele T. 49. Nguene B. 37. Peprah K. 8. Sanson M. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)	19. Beste J. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 24. Huth J. (G) 5. Jung A. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 6. Osterhage P. 26. Philipp M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 29. Treu P.
Coaches
Haise F.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
25', 1 - 0, Kevin ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Grifo V. (Pen),
42', 1 - 3, Scherhant D. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abdi A. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
51', Lienhart P. 🟨,
52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
66', Grifo V. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
66', Scherhant D. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
66', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
69', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
69', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
69', Gouveia T. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
73', Kubler L. 🟨,
77', Kevin ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
78', Kubler L. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
83', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Clauss J. (Red Card) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Nice: Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Diop S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury) Osterhage P. (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Nice	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Nice - Lyon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLW
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Freiburg - Utrecht	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWT

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