Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	15:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	14:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 1, Nova Sport
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Freiburg		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.55	4.45	Watch
	1.84	3.64	4.7
	1.83	3.75	4.21	Watch
	1.86	3.76	4.73	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	4.49 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg
52.2%

Draw
26.4%

St. Pauli
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

25.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	2.5%	12.5%

Freiburg - St. Pauli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 20. Adamu J.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. (C) 3. Mets K. 11. Pyrka A. 6. Sands J. 16. Fujita J. 23. Oppie L. 24. Metcalfe C. 19. Kaars M. 28. Pereira Lage M.
Substitutes
9. Holer L. 5. Jung A. 17. Kubler L. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 6. Osterhage P. 37. Rosenfelder M. 7. Scherhant D.	17. Afolayan O. 9. Ceesay A. 27. Hountondji A. 7. Irvine J. 21. Ritzka L. 34. Robatsch J. 10. Sinani D. 14. Stevens F. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Schuster J.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Eggestein M. ⚽, Beste J. (A),
58', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
59', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
59', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
59', Kaars M. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
68', Sands J. ↓, Irvine J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Oppie L. ⚽, Metcalfe C. (A),
71', Suzuki Y. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
81', Eggestein M. 🟨,
82', Metcalfe C. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
82', Mets K. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
84', Beste J. 🟨,
84', Sinani D. 🟨,
88', Beste J. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
90+3', Fujita J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.

Freiburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. Pauli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Dzwigala A. (Muscle Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury)

There are questionable in St. Pauli: Pyrka A. (Illness)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Freiburg - Utrecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.02.25	St. Pauli - Freiburg	0:1
28.09.24	Freiburg - St. Pauli	0:3
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ET
Club Friendly
07.10.21	Freiburg - St. Pauli	3:0
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.16	Freiburg - St. Pauli	4:3
25.10.15	St. Pauli - Freiburg	1:0
Club Friendly
14.07.15	Freiburg - St. Pauli	0:0

Upcoming Matches