Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Nova Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Freiburg		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.55	4.45	Watch
	1.84	3.64	4.7
	1.83	3.75	4.21	Watch
	1.86	3.76	4.73	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	4.49 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg
52.2%

Draw
26.4%

St. Pauli
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	2.5%	12.5%

Freiburg - St. Pauli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 20. Adamu J.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. (C) 3. Mets K. 11. Pyrka A. 6. Sands J. 16. Fujita J. 23. Oppie L. 24. Metcalfe C. 19. Kaars M. 28. Pereira Lage M.
Substitutes
9. Holer L. 5. Jung A. 17. Kubler L. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 6. Osterhage P. 37. Rosenfelder M. 7. Scherhant D.	17. Afolayan O. 9. Ceesay A. 27. Hountondji A. 7. Irvine J. 21. Ritzka L. 34. Robatsch J. 10. Sinani D. 14. Stevens F. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Schuster J.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Eggestein M. ⚽, Beste J. (A),
58', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
59', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
59', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
59', Kaars M. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
68', Sands J. ↓, Irvine J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Oppie L. ⚽, Metcalfe C. (A),
71', Suzuki Y. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
81', Eggestein M. 🟨,
82', Metcalfe C. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
82', Mets K. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
84', Beste J. 🟨,
84', Sinani D. 🟨,
88', Beste J. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
90+3', Fujita J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.

Freiburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. Pauli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Dzwigala A. (Muscle Injury) Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury)

There are questionable in St. Pauli: Pyrka A. (Illness)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Freiburg - Utrecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.02.25	St. Pauli - Freiburg	0:1
28.09.24	Freiburg - St. Pauli	0:3
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ET
Club Friendly
07.10.21	Freiburg - St. Pauli	3:0
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.16	Freiburg - St. Pauli	4:3
25.10.15	St. Pauli - Freiburg	1:0
Club Friendly
14.07.15	Freiburg - St. Pauli	0:0

Upcoming Matches