Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 6, Nova Sports Extra 4
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Union Berlin		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.58	3.25	2.82	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.63
	2.71	3.32	2.62	Watch
	2.71	3.41	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.71)	3.33 ↑ (3.32)	2.73 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
36.1%

Draw
28.8%

Freiburg
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Union Berlin aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	56.2%	12.5%

Union Berlin - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Freiburg will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 40%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Freiburg (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.49) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Freiburg (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 21. Skarke T. 8. Khedira R. (C) 6. Kemlein A. 39. Kohn D. 13. Schafer A. 19. Haberer J. 23. Ilic A.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 9. Holer L. 32. Grifo V. (C) 20. Adamu J.
Substitutes
10. Ansah I. 30. Bogdanov D. 7. Burke O. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 33. Kral A. 34. Nsoki S. 31. Raab M. (G) 15. Rothe T. 28. Trimmel C.	30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 17. Kubler L. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B. 7. Scherhant D. 14. Suzuki Y.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Adamu J. 🟨,
28', Khedira R. 🟨,
39', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
45+3', Haberer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
61', Skarke T. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
74', Beste J. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
74', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
76', Ilic A. 🟨,
80', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
80', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
82', Trimmel C. 🟨,
84', Rothe T. 🟨,
86', Ilic A. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
88', Kral A. 🟨,
89', Holer L. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
90+7', Baumgart S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
24.10.25	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLT
- SC Freiburg
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Freiburg - Utrecht	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.25	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.03.25	Freiburg - Union Berlin	1:2
08.11.24	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0
18.05.24	Union Berlin - Freiburg	2:1
13.01.24	Freiburg - Union Berlin	0:0
13.05.23	Union Berlin - Freiburg	4:2
13.11.22	Freiburg - Union Berlin	4:1
07.05.22	Freiburg - Union Berlin	1:4

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