Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Viktoria Plzeň		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.62
	5.25	4.1	1.62
	5.5	4.2	1.62
	5.42	4.25	1.62
	5.26	4.2	1.61	Watch
	5	4	1.62
	5.28	4.35	1.68
	5.5	4.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↓ (5.75)	4.16 ↑ (3.8)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
18%

Draw
23%

Manchester United
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

23.8%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

19.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	15.4%	73.1%

Viktoria Plzeň - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 5 - 10%). Man Utd will win (votes: 38 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 64.2% – 87.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jedlicka M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 22. Cadu 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 19. Souare C. 11. Vydra M. 31. Sulc P. 51. Vasulin D.	24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 4. de Ligt M. 6. Martinez Li. 20. Dalot D. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 18. Casemiro 12. Malacia T. 11. Zirkzee J. 10. Rashford M. 16. Diallo A.
Substitutes
80. Adu P. K. 30. Baier V. (G) 24. Havel M. 2. Hejda L. 33. Jirka E. 10. Kopic J. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 13. Tvrdon M. (G)	21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 43. Collyer T. 14. Eriksen C. 17. Garnacho A. 9. Hojlund R. 2. Lindelof V. 5. Maguire H. 37. Mainoo K. 7. Mount M. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L.
Coaches
Koubek M.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Rashford M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Vydra M. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
56', Rashford M. ↓, Hojlund R. ↑,
61', Zirkzee J. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
61', Malacia T. ↓, Antony ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽,
71', Vasulin D. ↓, Adu P. K. ↑,
78', Cadu ↓, Havel M. ↑,
81', de Ligt M. 🟨,
81', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
81', Dalot D. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
86', Vydra M. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Hojlund R. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
90+2', Mazraoui N. 🟨,

Preview

Plzeň in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Man Utd is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Man Utd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Durosinmi R. (Surgery) Sene C. (Inactive) Sykora J. (Knee Injury) Valenta M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Evans J. (Knock) Shaw L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Lindelof V. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
08.12.24	Karviná - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
05.12.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Teplice	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
23.11.24	Hradec Králové - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
07.12.24	Manchester United - Nottingham Forest	2:3 ✺
04.12.24	Arsenal - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Manchester United - Everton	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Manchester United - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
24.11.24	Ipswich Town - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWT

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