Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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Denmark	See, Viaplay
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Manchester United		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	5
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.65	4.25	5.15
	1.63	4.45	5.32
	1.65	4.38	5.08	Watch
	1.62	4	4.8
	1.66	4.53	5.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	4.31 ↑ (4.1)	5.08 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
58.8%

Draw
22.3%

Nottingham Forest
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	15.2%	18.2%

Manchester United - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Nottingham will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nottingham (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 5. Maguire H. 6. Martinez Li. 23. Shaw L. 18. Casemiro 37. Mainoo K. 16. Diallo A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Cunha M. 19. Mbeumo B.	26. Sels M. (G) 3. Williams N. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 25. Netz L. 21. Hutchinson O. 16. Dominguez N. 8. Anderson E. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 19. Igor Jesus 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 13. Dorgu P. 26. Heaven A. 12. Malacia T. 3. Mazraoui N. 7. Mount M. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.	44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 29. Bakwa D. 23. Cunha 13. John Victor (G) 24. McAtee J. 27. Ortega S. (G) 6. Sangare I. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Carrick M.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Shaw L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Morato ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Cunha M. ⚽,
70', Hutchinson O. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
70', Wood Ch. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
70', Dominguez N. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
78', 3 - 2, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
78', Casemiro 🟨,
80', Mbeumo B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
80', Cunha M. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
81', Casemiro ↓, Mount M. ↑,
84', Igor Jesus ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
84', Netz L. ↓, Cunha ↑,
90+3', Shaw L. 🟨,
90+4', Anderson E. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).

Man Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Man Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Injury) Boly W. (Knee Injury) Hudson-Odoi C. (Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Murillo (Muscle Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Sesko B. (Leg Injury) Ugarte M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Abbott Z. (Concussion) Gibbs-White M. (Head Injury) Sangare I. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Nottingham: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Manchester Utd	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
09.05.26	Sunderland - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Manchester United - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
27.04.26	Manchester United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
10.05.26	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.05.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.05.26	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.04.26	Sunderland - Nottingham Forest	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2
01.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	1:0
07.12.24	Manchester United - Nottingham Forest	2:3
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	0:1
English Premier League
30.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:1
26.08.23	Manchester United - Nottingham Forest	3:2
16.04.23	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	0:2

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