Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Vila Meã		Leixões

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.7
	4.45	3.7	1.68
	3.19	1.62	6.83	Watch
	4.48	3.62	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (6.07)	3.21 ↓ (4.82)	2.99 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Meã
27.3%

Draw
35%

Leixões
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

19%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

18%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Meã's performance.

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leixões might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Meã that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+24.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vila Meã - Leixões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Santos D. (G) 3. Amadeu 9. Carvalho J. O. 88. Joy 79. Lopes J. 21. Madureira J. 8. Martins D. 4. Meneses P. 72. Morais M. 26. Quinones C. 6. Syzyi S.	51. Stefanovic I. (G) 11. Agra S. (C) 22. Araujo C. 9. Bica 3. Figueiredo L. 6. Paulinho 77. Paulinho 10. Paulite 4. Rafael Santos 35. Rochez B. 15. Simaozinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Bica ⚽,
21', Stefanovic I. 🟥,
23', Rochez B. ↓, Morro M. ↑,
33', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Joy ⚽,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
102', 🟥,
115', 🟨,
118', 2 - 1, ⚽,
120+2', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vila Meã may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leixões is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Vila Meã - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Aparecida - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Vila Meã - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Resende - Vila Meã	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vila Meã - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWT
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.25	Leixões - Chaves	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Leixões - Torreense	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:5 ✺
25.10.25	Leiria - Leixões	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLW

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