Match Info

Date: 26 October 2020, Monday


	Vila Nova		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.8	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.83	3	4.3
	1.89	3.18	4.69
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.87	3.18	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)	3.08 ↑ (3)	4.27 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
48.8%

Draw
29.7%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

30.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2%)

Vila Nova - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs)).

Vila Nova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferroviário is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie C
18.10.20	Paysandu - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
12.10.20	Vila Nova - Manaus	2:1 ✺
05.10.20	Jacuipense - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
26.09.20	Vila Nova - Treze	0:0 ✺
21.09.20	Vila Nova - Imperatriz de Desportos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
17.10.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Remo	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
26.09.20	Imperatriz de Desportos - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
20.09.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
22.08.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Vila Nova	4:0
Copa do Brasil
15.03.18	Vila Nova - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:1
28.02.18	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Vila Nova	1:1

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