Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	18:00	Disney+, ESPN, SportyNet


	Vila Nova		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.00	2.57	Watch
	2.70	3.00	2.50
	2.70	3.05	2.70	Watch
	2.93	3.00	2.74
	2.85	2.97	2.66	Watch
	2.90	2.95	2.70
	2.81	3.01	2.63	Watch
	2.80	3.00	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.63 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
33.3%

Draw
31.2%

Grêmio Novorizontino
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vila Nova have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 4. Douglas Mendes 23. Jonathan Costa 6. Higor 21. Higor Meritao 8. Willian Maranhao 17. Everton Galdino 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis	93. Jordi (G) 2. Madson 3. Carlinhos 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 5. Sander 17. Matheus Bianqui 6. Luis Oyama 41. Reidiney 10. Romulo 30. Nicolas Careca 11. Robson
Substitutes
14. Anderson Jesus 29. Dalberson (G) 49. Dellatorre 31. Dodo 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 16. Igor Carius 9. Lincoln 20. Nathan Camargo 11. Ryan 3. Tiago Pagnussat 13. Willian Formiga	9. Carlao 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 27. Diego Mathias 22. Ivan Alvarino 50. Juninho 18. Leo Naldi 24. Lora J. 28. Marlon 66. Maykon Jesus 8. Ortiz C. 7. Ronald Barcellos 16. Vinicius Paiva
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Robson ⚽, Eduardo Brock (A),
27', Hayner 🟨,
32', Willian Maranhao 🟨,
36', Robson 🟨,
41', Sander ↓, Maykon Jesus ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Willian Maranhao ↓, Dodo ↑,
46', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Dodo ⚽, Higor Meritao (A),
65', Nicolas Careca ↓, Juninho ↑,
70', Higor Meritao ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Andre Luis ⚽, Dodo (A),
75', Luis Oyama ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
75', Reidiney ↓, Ronald Barcellos ↑,
77', Hayner ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
77', Andre Luis ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
78', Matheus Bianqui 🟨,
84', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Tiago Pagnussat ↑,
84', Everton Galdino ↓, Enzo Bizzotto ↑,
84', Romulo ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
90+5', Maykon Jesus 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 2, Ortiz C. ⚽, Madson (A),

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Serie A and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.

Vila Nova has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Novorizontino is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Vila Nova: Andre Luis (Inactive) Breno Augusto (Knee Injury) Joao Vieira (Yellow Cards) Rafa Silva (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Novorizontino: Patrick (Red Card) Renato Palm (Injury) Tavares Miguel (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Novorizontino: Gabriel Bahia (Inactive) Matheus Bianqui (Injury) Robson (Injury).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vila Nova against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Novorizontino	35	18	10	7	62:30	32	64
3	Vila Nova FC	35	18	8	9	50:36	14	62

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Novorizontino: 48.28% Vila Nova FC: 13.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Vila Nova - Londrina	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Vila Nova - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	5:1 ✺
08.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás	3:0 ✺
25.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.06.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	2:1
28.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	1:1
30.05.25	Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1
31.08.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	2:0
14.05.24	Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1
30.07.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	3:1
15.04.23	Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1

Upcoming Matches