Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 10

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Lima L. (Bra)


	Vila Nova		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.35	5.2
	1.77	3.39	5.67
	1.78	3.25	4.8
	1.75	3.52	4.95	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)	3.41 ↑ (3.18)	5.03 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
54%

Draw
27.4%

Sampaio Corrêa
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

28.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Denis Junior (G) 2. Leo Duarte 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Doma 6. Rodrigo 11. Matheus Souza 8. Ralf 15. Sousa 77. Guilherme Parede 9. Neto Pessoa 19. Caio Dantas	1. Luiz Daniel (C) 2. Mateus Pivo 13. Joecio 4. Gustavo Henrique 6. Alyson Neves 5. Jhony Douglas 8. Neto Paraiba 20. Mauricio Maranhao 10. Marcinho 7. Vitinho 22. Vinicius Alves
Substitutes
18. Cristiano 16. Diego Renan 23. Igor Henrique 20. Joao Celeri 10. Luciano Naninho 4. Marcondes 7. Marlone 22. Rian 17. Ronald 14. Ulisses 1. Vanderlei (G) 21. Victor Andrade	18. Alexandre Tam 19. Bill 23. Claudio Cebolinha 15. Eloir 3. Gabriel Furtado 14. Leo Silva 21. Luiz Otavio 17. Rafael Vila 16. Rodrigo Souza 12. Thiago Braga (G) 9. Venicius Cascais
Coaches
Oliveira C.	Fernandes M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0.

Recent matches Vila Nova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Everton Brito (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.05.23	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
24.05.23	Vila Nova - Ituano	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
12.05.23	Vila Nova - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Mirassol - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
29.05.23	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
24.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Juventude	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.08.22	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
14.05.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	2:0
11.11.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	3:0
07.08.21	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2
21.08.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	0:0
28.04.18	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
25.10.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	0:3

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