Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Mirassol		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.87	3.2	4.5
	1.9	3.21	5.21
	1.98	3.1	4.24	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.4
	1.87	3.06	4.92	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	4.59 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
49.9%

Draw
29.7%

Vila Nova
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

28%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Mirassol - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 3. Lucas Gazal 37. Zeca 25. Neto Moura 27. Gabriel 8. Danielzinho 10. Chico Kim 99. Leo Gamalho 7. Fernandinho	26. Denis Junior (G) 2. Silva A. 33. Dankler 4. Jemmes 14. Rhuan 8. Ralf 5. Cristiano 27. Igor Henrique 29. Junior Todinho 11. Alesson 7. Emerson Urso
Substitutes
2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 29. Cristian Renato 44. Henri 14. Isaque 77. Iury Castilho 98. Marquinhos 11. Negueba 90. Thomazella (G) 30. Valdivia F. 1. Vanderlei (G) 31. Ze Mario	22. Apodi 9. Denilson 15. Du Fernandes 17. Everton 6. Fabio 21. Gabriel Silva 99. Halls (G) 19. Henrique Almeida 20. Joao Lucas 10. Luciano Naninho 3. Vanderley
Coaches
Mozart	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Silva A. 🟨,
18', Junior Todinho 🟨,
39', Leo Gamalho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Cristiano 🟨,
63', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
66', Chico Kim ↓, Negueba ↑,
67', Gabriel ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
76', Silva A. 🟨,
77', Emerson Urso ↓, Fabio ↑,
86', Igor Henrique ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
86', Junior Todinho ↓, Vanderley ↑,
86', Lucas Ramon ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
86', Zeca ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
90', Alesson ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
90+1', Cristian Renato 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Negueba ⚽,
90+7', Negueba 🟨,
90+10', Fabio 🟥,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Negueba (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Marcondes (Injury)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Joao Victor (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.24	Mirassol - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Goiás - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
17.09.24	Guarani - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Mirassol - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ituano - Mirassol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLTL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.24	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Ceará - Vila Nova	4:0 ✺
18.09.24	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Brusque - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
04.09.24	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.06.24	Vila Nova - Mirassol	1:0
17.08.23	Vila Nova - Mirassol	2:0
06.05.23	Mirassol - Vila Nova	1:1

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