Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Leixões		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.98	3.25	3.3
	1.86	3.35	3.8
	2.04	3.6	3.77
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.96	3.5	3.58
	2	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
46.8%

Draw
27.4%

BSAD
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Leixões - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). BSAD will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Leixões is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

BSAD is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leixões will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.23	Leixões - Mafra	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Torreense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Leixões - Covilhã	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Tondela - Leixões	2:3 ✺
02.04.23	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWL
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.23	BSAD - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - BSAD	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	BSAD - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Benfica B - BSAD	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	BSAD - Torreense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.12.22	BSAD - Leixões	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
27.01.16	BSAD - Leixões	4:0
Portuguese Liga 2
17.03.13	BSAD - Leixões	2:1
27.10.12	Leixões - BSAD	1:1

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