Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Lima F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilafranquense		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3	3
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.44	3.07	3.37
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.28	3.04	3.25
	2.21	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	3.21 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
40.7%

Draw
30.6%

Torreense
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

31.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Vilafranquense - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 and 8).

Vilafranquense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Torreense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilafranquense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
23.04.23	Tondela - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
17.04.23	Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Académico de Viseu - Vilafranquense	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Vilafranquense - Nacional	4:0 ✺
19.03.23	Penafiel - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWT
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
22.04.23	Torreense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Mafra - Torreense	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Torreense - Covilhã	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	BSAD - Torreense	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.11.22	Torreense - Vilafranquense	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.03.18	Vilafranquense - Torreense	3:0
12.11.17	Torreense - Vilafranquense	0:1
13.11.16	Vilafranquense - Torreense	0:1

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