Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Tondela		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.3	Watch
	2.25	2.87	3.1
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.39	2.92	3.68
	2.25	2.88	3.2
	2.21	3.13	3.3
	2.27	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.39)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	3.3 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
40.8%

Draw
31.3%

Vilafranquense
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

32.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	88.2%	11.8%

Tondela - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 88.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 72.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vilafranquense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tondela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tondela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
15.04.23	Trofense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Tondela - Leixões	2:3 ✺
01.04.23	Oliveirense - Tondela	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Tondela - Mafra	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
17.04.23	Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Académico de Viseu - Vilafranquense	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Vilafranquense - Nacional	4:0 ✺
19.03.23	Penafiel - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Vilafranquense - Farense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.22	Vilafranquense - Tondela	1:1

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