Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	5.75
	1.44	4.1	5.75
	1.4	4.1	6.4
	1.46	4.48	7.7
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.44	4.3	6.75
	1.45	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	4.13 ↑ (3.92)	6.55 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
63.8%

Draw
22.2%

BSAD
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.6%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

22.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Estrela da Amadora - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). BSAD will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Estrela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

BSAD is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estrela to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
17.04.23	Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
07.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - Mafra	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Leixões - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWT
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
15.04.23	BSAD - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Benfica B - BSAD	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	BSAD - Torreense	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Farense - BSAD	4:0 ✺
12.03.23	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.22	BSAD - Estrela da Amadora	1:3

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