Match Info

Date: 7 March 2022, Monday


	Vilafranquense		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	4.2	3	1.85	Watch
	4.33	3.2	1.77
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.4	3.1	1.87
	4.33	3.17	2.05
	5	3.25	1.67
	4.2	3.28	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (2.96)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	1.83 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
20.8%

Draw
28.9%

Rio Ave
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

19.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilafranquense's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilafranquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vilafranquense - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
27.02.22	Farense - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Vilafranquense - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
14.02.22	Chaves - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Vilafranquense - Mafra	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWT
- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
27.02.22	Rio Ave - Porto B	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Feirense - Rio Ave	0:0 ✺
14.02.22	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
10.02.22	Chaves - Rio Ave	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Leixões - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.21	Rio Ave - Vilafranquense	2:1

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