Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Leixões		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.85
	4.2	3.4	1.8
	3.85	3.2	1.9
	4	3.2	1.92
	4.11	3.48	1.99
	3.7	3.2	1.88
	3.74	3.42	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (2.76)	3.31 ↑ (3.18)	1.9 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
23.6%

Draw
27.9%

Rio Ave
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

21%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leixões's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Leixões - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion)).

Recent matches Leixões is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Ave is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Rio Ave have a series of home games.

In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.22	Leixões - Mafra	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:0 ✺
24.01.22	Leixões - Chaves	1:1 ✺
17.01.22	Farense - Leixões	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Casa Pia - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTWL
- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.22	Rio Ave - Covilhã	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	Rio Ave - Varzim	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Rio Ave - Farense	2:1 ✺
19.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.22	Rio Ave - Tondela	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.08.21	Rio Ave - Leixões	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
30.12.17	Rio Ave - Leixões	3:2
29.12.15	Leixões - Rio Ave	1:2

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