Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Trofense		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.15	2.6
	2.65	3.1	2.44
	2.78	3.16	2.8
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.59	3.22	2.65
	2.55	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.68)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)	2.6 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
35.5%

Draw
29.3%

Leixões
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.8%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

28.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Trofense - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1.

Recent matches Trofense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leixões is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Leixões have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.23	BSAD - Trofense	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Mafra - Trofense	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Trofense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:2 ✺
30.12.22	Trofense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWTL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
29.01.23	Leixões - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Leixões - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Vilafranquense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.01.23	Leixões - Famalicão	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.23	Leixões - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
15.08.22	Leixões - Trofense	1:0
10.04.22	Trofense - Leixões	1:2
28.11.21	Leixões - Trofense	1:2
01.03.15	Trofense - Leixões	0:2
21.09.14	Leixões - Trofense	2:1
02.02.14	Trofense - Leixões	0:3
08.09.13	Leixões - Trofense	1:0

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