Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Torres M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilaverdense		Feirense

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.85
	3.6	3.2	1.93	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.55	3.42	2.17
	3.55	3.42	2.17
	4	3.4	1.73
	3.51	3.25	2.08	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.65)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	2.01 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
25.8%

Draw
28%

Feirense
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilaverdense's form might have worsened.

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feirense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilaverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Vilaverdense - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Feirense will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feirense: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Santos R. (G) 94. Viegas R. 27. Freitas C. 3. Laercio 12. Maviram E. 23. Ericson 88. Neves L. 8. Joao Caiado 10. Soares A. (C) 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva	99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 3. Moreira C. (C) 76. Almeida F. 5. Silva B. 35. Sergio Conceicao 11. Banjaqui Z. 6. Washington 20. Pereira J. 77. Dudu Hatamoto 88. Alves R. 70. Castro J.
Substitutes
82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M.	7. Bras D. 71. Camara M. 1. Diego Callai (G) 72. Ferreira de Oliveira G. 27. Jocu H. 10. Oche O. 9. Paredes J. 37. Picas 4. Shimaga A.
Coaches
Machado S.	Sousa R.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vilaverdense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Feirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Penafiel - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
21.12.23	Torreense - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Marítimo - Vilaverdense	4:0 ✺
01.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLW
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
07.01.24	Feirense - Torreense	3:1 ✺
30.12.23	Leiria - Feirense	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Feirense - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Leixões - Feirense	0:0 ✺
04.12.23	Feirense - Mafra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLTW

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