Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Torreense		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.63	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.74	3.75	4.79
	1.72	3.83	5.17
	1.6	3.5	4.6
	1.66	3.68	4.9	Watch
	1.66	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)	4.88 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Torreense
55.4%

Draw
25.7%

Vilaverdense
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

21.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Vilaverdense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torreense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Torreense - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: Torreense will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 5. Afonso J. (C) 17. Tassano C. 31. Joaozinho 27. D'Alberto A. 30. Balanta J. 77. Neneco 13. Simaozinho 40. Gomez P. 10. Welthon F. S. 29. Patrick	93. Santos R. (G) 94. Viegas R. 33. Gustavo 26. Batista J. 12. Maviram E. 23. Ericson (C) 5. Sako M. 70. Hanne B. 20. Semedo Y. 8. Joao Caiado 7. Teixeira G.
Substitutes
11. Antoine C. 19. Arriba J. 8. Benny 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 14. Elimbi M. G. 32. Guzman S. 80. Keffel 12. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 21. Rodrigues A.	11. Bruno Silva 17. Fati N. 27. Freitas C. 1. Goncalves I. (G) 4. Kawale R. 6. Konate B. 3. Laercio 19. Lopes A. 10. Soares A.
Coaches
Tulipa	Machado S.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Torreense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
16.12.23	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	0:0 ✺
08.12.23	Leiria - Torreense	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Torreense - Leixões	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Torreense - Tondela	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.11.23	Marítimo - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTLW
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
17.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Marítimo - Vilaverdense	4:0 ✺
01.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Vilaverdense	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Mafra - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLL

Upcoming Matches