Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Vilaverdense		Paredes

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.25	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.46	3.75	6.4
	1.5	4.02	7.49
	1.44	3.5	7.5
	1.46	3.82	6.55	Watch
	1.48	3.85	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)	3.78 ↑ (3.59)	6.68 ↑ (6.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
62.2%

Draw
24.1%

Paredes
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

25.6%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

24.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Vilaverdense - Paredes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Paredes will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vilaverdense: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Vilaverdense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Paredes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paredes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vilaverdense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vilaverdense to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
03.12.22	Vilaverdense - Canelas	3:0 ✺
27.11.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
12.11.22	Varzim - Vilaverdense	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.11.22	Vilaverdense - Oliveira Hospital	7:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
04.11.22	Vilaverdense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWT
- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
02.12.22	Varzim - Paredes	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Paredes - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Montalegre - Paredes	0:0 ✺
04.11.22	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Felgueiras - Paredes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
21.08.22	Paredes - Vilaverdense	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.05.22	Paredes - Vilaverdense	1:0
10.04.22	Vilaverdense - Paredes	2:1

Vilaverdense - Paredes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide