Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5, Sport TV


	Vilaverdense		Leixões

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3.23	2.33
	3.4	3.23	2.33
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.22	3.2	2.19	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.11)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	2.2 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
28.5%

Draw
29.2%

Leixões
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28.2%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

28.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	41.7%	50%

Vilaverdense - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Leixões will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Santos R. (G) 94. Viegas R. 33. Gustavo 26. Batista J. 12. Maviram E. 5. Sako M. 88. Neves L. 20. Semedo Y. (C) 8. Joao Caiado 70. Hanne B. 7. Teixeira G.	87. Ribeiro R. (G) 45. Rafael 4. Leo Bolgado 43. Danrlei 2. Fabinho 16. Simoes A. 13. Zagbayou H. (C) 80. Renato Luis 88. Agostinho 84. Adriano Amorim 10. Paulite
Substitutes
17. Fati N. 27. Freitas C. 1. Goncalves I. (G) 21. Harramiz S. 4. Kawale R. 3. Laercio 19. Lopes A. 10. Soares A. 89. Ze Pedro	61. Amorim Gomes J. F. 7. Conceicao M. 27. Fabinho 8. Freitas R. 19. Marufdeen M. 1. Moura R. (G) 92. Rafael 85. Teixeira R. 25. Wakaso A.
Coaches
Machado S.	Ribeiro P.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 15).

Vilaverdense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leixões is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilaverdense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
10.12.23	Marítimo - Vilaverdense	4:0 ✺
01.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Vilaverdense	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Mafra - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Vilaverdense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
09.12.23	Leixões - Feirense	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Torreense - Leixões	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Leiria - Leixões	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Leixões - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Mafra - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Leixões - Vilaverdense	5:1

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