Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 9

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Montalegre		Paredes

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.12	3.05	3.2
	2.22	3.28	3.46
	2.12	3.18	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.97)	3.14 ↑ (2.88)	3.21 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montalegre
42.6%

Draw
29%

Paredes
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

31.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montalegre's performance.

Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paredes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montalegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paredes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Paredes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
06.11.22	Canelas - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Montalegre - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Varzim - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Montalegre - São João de Ver	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
09.10.22	Montalegre - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLT
- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
04.11.22	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Felgueiras - Paredes	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Paredes - Anadia	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Fafe - Paredes	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Oriental - Paredes	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Vianense - Paredes	✺

Montalegre - Paredes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide