Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Azevedo Duarte F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Oliveirense		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.4
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.11	3.4	3.3
	2.14	3.51	3.54
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	2.09	3.42	3.4
	2.05	3.3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.94)	3.37 ↓ (3.57)	3.36 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
45%

Draw
27.5%

Vilaverdense
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Oliveirense - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: Oliveirense will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Augusto A. (G) 42. Guilherme 19. John K. 13. Lomboto J. 72. Negrao G. 37. Lamine M. 5. Filipe Alves (C) 88. Kazu 22. Ze Pedro 7. Paulo J. 21. Jaiminho	93. Santos R. (G) 27. Freitas C. 3. Laercio 26. Batista J. 12. Maviram E. 23. Ericson 88. Neves L. 10. Soares A. (C) 8. Joao Caiado 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva
Substitutes
17. Brandao F. 18. Gadelho V. 4. Iago Reis 12. Macedo N. (G) 11. Miura K. 50. Nagata K. 56. Schurrle 34. Ze Leite	82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A.
Coaches
Cheu R.	Machado S.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oliveirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
20.01.24	Feirense - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
12.01.24	Leixões - Oliveirense	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Oliveirense - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
30.12.23	Tondela - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Oliveirense - Mafra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLL
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
19.01.24	Vilaverdense - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vilaverdense - Feirense	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Penafiel - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
21.12.23	Torreense - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
20.08.23	Vilaverdense - Oliveirense	1:2

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