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Current Win Probability
Villa Dálmine 50%
Draw 29.3%
Liniers 20.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
29%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
31.6%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Villa Dálmine - Liniers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 7. Britos M. 4. Gamba L. 11. Nievas A. 5. Nizzo M. 9. Paez M. 10. Prim S. 3. Ramon E. 8. Solis M. 2. Zurita M.
1. Rotundo M. (G) 6. Canosa J. 4. Di Motta R. 3. Fiordeliso M. 10. Gallegos E. 2. Machuca B. 11. Mackay G. 9. Moreno F. 7. Palacio S. 8. Penoni A. 5. Rodon F.
Substitutes
15. Carlucci V. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 16. Gargiulo V. 17. Gutierrez G. 14. Hassell T. 19. Morales M. 20. Oro P. 18. Resquin G. 13. Spampinato P
17. Camejo F. 18. Camejo J. 19. Coria T. 12. De Feliche C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 14. Pereyra E. 20. Sallaberry I. 15. Tejada U. 16. Tonet J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Nizzo M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Moreno F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Nievas A. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
60', Rodon F. 🟨,
65', Machuca B. ↓, Formichelli S. ↑,
69', Moreno F. 🟨,
70', Zurita M. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
70', Solis M. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
78', Mackay G. ↓, Coria T. ↑,
78', Moreno F. ↓, Tonet J. ↑,
79', Paez M. ↓, Resquin G. ↑,
83', Fiordeliso M. ↓, Pereyra E. ↑,
83', Gallegos E. ↓, Camejo F. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs and 17th).
Recent results have been tough for Villa Dálmine (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Liniers have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Villa Dálmine carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Villa Dálmine has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villa Dálmine against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).